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Topic: We are going to have a Referendum on EU Fiscal Treaty
Blanco
(7,909 Posts)
Posted: 28-Feb-2012 15:20
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Enda Kenny has annouced that the attorney generals advice is that Ireland needs a referendum to agree to the treaty.

What are the chances of it been defeated? what are the consequences for us if it is?

How many chances will we get to pass it?
Harrison Ford
(474 Posts)
Posted: 28-Feb-2012 15:23
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Originally posted by Blanco:
Enda Kenny has annouced that the attorney generals advice is that Ireland needs a referendum to agree to the treaty.

What are the chances of it been defeated? what are the consequences for us if it is?

How many chances will we get to pass it?

You forgot to ask - what are the consequences for us if it is passed?
patr1ck84
(729 Posts)
Posted: 28-Feb-2012 15:27
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more ink cartridges
askyeraulwan
(695 Posts)
Posted: 28-Feb-2012 16:03
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Hope to fcuk this thing is defeated and we severely fcuk up Merkel and cos dream of a new Reich.
Larkin
(4,404 Posts)
Posted: 28-Feb-2012 17:26
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I have previously said that I care not what this treaty says or what spin they put on it. I have been lied to enough by this government and their puppet masters in Germany and France. I will most certainly be voting NO.
Hitch
(3,644 Posts)
Posted: 28-Feb-2012 17:36
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Mickey Martin struggling badly in Opposition.

He`s after losing his hair rapid since yiz turfed him out as well!

nev
(121 Posts)
Posted: 28-Feb-2012 17:53
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would fear the treaty will fail as people punish the political system in general. cut off your nose to spite your face, chaos ahoy.
hard to stomach all the little irelander stuff that will now spew forth, not to mind some of the more reactionary irish `left` coming out against it.
argggggggh
Deise Vu
(1,658 Posts)
Posted: 28-Feb-2012 18:07
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Originally posted by nev:
would fear the treaty will fail as people punish the political system in general. cut off your nose to spite your face, chaos ahoy.
hard to stomach all the little irelander stuff that will now spew forth, not to mind some of the more reactionary irish `left` coming out against it.
argggggggh

The left coming out `agin` is laughable. At the moment we are borrowing about €20Bn to keep shovelling money into the bottomless pit of Health, Education and Social Welfare and, of course the banks.

If we thumb our noses at the notion that we might impose a bit of fiscal rectitude on ourselves in return for that €20Bn there are a couple of things certain. We won`t have to put any more money into the banks because they won`t exist anymore. At the first hint of a negative poll, never mind the real one, money will disappear from our banks faster than pints at a FF think tank. It will obviously not be replaced by cheap ECB money i nthe circumstances.

As we will become an economic experiment in running a country without a bank it is unlikely that anyone will lend to us until the experiment runs it`s potentially catastrophic course. The simple conclusion therefore is we will immediately have to balance our budget with all that will entail for the beneficiaries of the Health, Education and Welfare budgets. If you want to see real austerity, vote no.

Right wingers must be rubbing their hands with glee on this one, and to think the left are going to do the running for them.
Stamp101
(195 Posts)
Posted: 28-Feb-2012 18:10
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Anyone remember "yes to lisbon yes to jobs"
loughcurraman
(1,456 Posts)
Posted: 28-Feb-2012 18:23
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Originally posted by Deise Vu:


The left coming out `agin` is laughable. At the moment we are borrowing about €20Bn to keep shovelling money into the bottomless pit of Health, Education and Social Welfare and, of course the banks.

If we thumb our noses at the notion that we might impose a bit of fiscal rectitude on ourselves in return for that €20Bn there are a couple of things certain. We won`t have to put any more money into the banks because they won`t exist anymore. At the first hint of a negative poll, never mind the real one, money will disappear from our banks faster than pints at a FF think tank. It will obviously not be replaced by cheap ECB money i nthe circumstances.

As we will become an economic experiment in running a country without a bank it is unlikely that anyone will lend to us until the experiment runs it`s potentially catastrophic course. The simple conclusion therefore is we will immediately have to balance our budget with all that will entail for the beneficiaries of the Health, Education and Welfare budgets. If you want to see real austerity, vote no.

Right wingers must be rubbing their hands with glee on this one, and to think the left are going to do the running for them.

Another thing you could add is that a fair number of the American multinationals could well pull out since one of the often stated reasons for being here is that Ireland is a gateway to the European markets. If we become semi detached from Europe we might not be much of a gateway anymore.
This message has been edited - 28-feb-2012 @ 18:24
Hold that Line
(3,117 Posts)
Posted: 28-Feb-2012 18:50
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You can be sure if it`s a NO vote that the question will be asked again until it`s a YES.
Hold that Line
(3,117 Posts)
Posted: 28-Feb-2012 18:50
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You can be sure if it`s a NO vote that the question will be asked again until it`s a YES.
Welger AP630
(2,507 Posts)
Posted: 28-Feb-2012 19:12
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It does not matter how we vote, we cannot hold up this one, it only needs 11 countries to ratify it for it to go ahead

An Clár
(253 Posts)
Posted: 28-Feb-2012 20:24
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Originally posted by Larkin:
I have previously said that I care not what this treaty says or what spin they put on it. I have been lied to enough by this government and their puppet masters in Germany and France. I will most certainly be voting NO.

Nail on head Larkin!!
notrealdan
(637 Posts)
Posted: 28-Feb-2012 20:35
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Originally posted by Larkin:
I have previously said that I care not what this treaty says or what spin they put on it. I have been lied to enough by this government and their puppet masters in Germany and France. I will most certainly be voting NO.

I suppose your crowd will print a few thousand posters for the campaign Lar?
dubliner 2
(10,823 Posts)
Posted: 28-Feb-2012 20:40
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I have voted no in every single referendum on Europe that I have had a vote in, including both Lisbons.

But we cannot vote no anymore. The time for that has passed and people like me who feared that what has happened would happen were not listened to and now it`s too late.

Anyone who thinks a No vote is a good idea would want to take a long hard look at Greece over the last couple of years. We cannot survive outside the EU and that`s exactly where we would end up. The amount of money that would flee the jurisdiction after a No vote  (indeed some of it might well be going as we speak )  will kill us stone dead.

End of story.
inbetweeners
(413 Posts)
Posted: 28-Feb-2012 20:40
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Originally posted by Larkin:
I have previously said that I care not what this treaty says or what spin they put on it. I have been lied to enough by this government and their puppet masters in Germany and France. I will most certainly be voting NO.

Why not just read it for yourself and make an informed decision?

That is what I will be doing. I admit to being lazy in informing myself on other Treaties but I won`t make that mistake again.

There will be a lot of spin on both sides.

dubliner 2
(10,823 Posts)
Posted: 28-Feb-2012 20:42
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Originally posted by Stamp101:
Anyone remember "yes to lisbon yes to jobs"

In the grand scheme of things Lisbon meant very little.

This is a whole other ball game.
Ozzy
(1,867 Posts)
Posted: 28-Feb-2012 20:55
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Originally posted by dubliner 2:
I have voted no in every single referendum on Europe that I have had a vote in, including both Lisbons.

But we cannot vote no anymore. The time for that has passed and people like me who feared that what has happened would happen were not listened to and now it`s too late.

Anyone who thinks a No vote is a good idea would want to take a long hard look at Greece over the last couple of years. We cannot survive outside the EU and that`s exactly where we would end up. The amount of money that would flee the jurisdiction after a No vote    (indeed some of it might well be going as we speak   )    will kill us stone dead.

End of story.

It`s far too simplistic to say that a no vote will "kill us stone dead" and then say that`s the end of the story.
As far as I know Greece has not left the EU, I don`t see how the example of Greece helps your argument at all. Iceland is not in the EU but it has half Greece`s unemployment rate despite the crisis it has endured. Of course I`m not saying that a no vote will mean Ireland will have the same experience as Iceland but I don`t see how the experience of Greece is an argument for anyone in Ireland voting yes in the upcoming referendum.
This message has been edited - 28-feb-2012 @ 20:56
JohnMcCain
(702 Posts)
Posted: 28-Feb-2012 21:35
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Originally posted by loughcurraman:


Another thing you could add is that a fair number of the American multinationals could well pull out since one of the often stated reasons for being here is that Ireland is a gateway to the European markets. If we become semi detached from Europe we might not be much of a gateway anymore.

If Ireland cannot return to the bond markets in 2014 as is PROBABLE it will need another bailout. A NO vote means we will be unable to access another bailout from the EU to fund services. That means that the budget would have to be balanced immediately. That can only be done by slashing Social Welfare, salaries and government services by 40% Loony left claptrap is no solution for financial reality. A No vote is a vote to slash services, pensions and salaries by 40% in 2014. Be in no doubt about the consequences. Ignore the loony left and loony right. Vote YES. We have to vote YES to access further funds in 2014. A NO vote will leave us high and dry. A YES vote is the lesser of two evils. Remember if we vote NO we cannot access funds for a second bailout. Anybody who states otherwise is a liar. The loony let wants to turn this country into North Korea. Take no notice of Sinn Fein and the Socialist Party.
This message has been edited - 28-feb-2012 @ 21:46
Larkin
(4,404 Posts)
Posted: 28-Feb-2012 22:03
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Anything that Eamon Gilmore is campaigning on behalf of has to be bad news for the majority of us, vote no!!!!!!!!!!!!
Equalizer
(470 Posts)
Posted: 28-Feb-2012 22:20
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Originally posted by Welger AP630:


It does not matter how we vote, we cannot hold up this one, it only needs 11 countries to ratify it for it to go ahead





This message has been edited - 28-feb-2012 @ 22:21
scelp
(1,695 Posts)
Posted: 28-Feb-2012 22:29
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Originally posted by Blanco:
We are going to have a Referendum on EU Fiscal Treaty

YEEEEESSSSSSSSSSSS!!!!!
jack daw
(357 Posts)
Posted: 28-Feb-2012 22:34
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Originally posted by loughcurraman:


Another thing you could add is that a fair number of the American multinationals could well pull out since one of the often stated reasons for being here is that Ireland is a gateway to the European markets. If we become semi detached from Europe we might not be much of a gateway anymore.

a pile of scaremongering crapp but sure you beat enda kenny to it anyway...
dubliner 2
(10,823 Posts)
Posted: 28-Feb-2012 23:00
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Originally posted by Ozzy:


It`s far too simplistic to say that a no vote will "kill us stone dead" and then say that`s the end of the story.
As far as I know Greece has not left the EU, I don`t see how the example of Greece helps your argument at all. Iceland is not in the EU but it has half Greece`s unemployment rate despite the crisis it has endured. Of course I`m not saying that a no vote will mean Ireland will have the same experience as Iceland but I don`t see how the experience of Greece is an argument for anyone in Ireland voting yes in the upcoming referendum.

It is precisely because Iceland is NOT in the EU that they have recovered so quickly. The time to say no to the Euro was twenty years ago. It`s too late now.

Scaremongering? Well I don`t know about anyone else but I AM scared, because no one really knows what a No vote will mean. I suspect it could mean any or all of the things that some people have posted about already on this thread. It could mean American multi nationals taking a hike. Bearing in mind a no vote would be voting no to a compact that asks us to not run massive budget deficits I don`t think there is any question that the markets would give us a hiding and then where do we go?

I, for one, do not want a balanced budget being imposed on us in the space of a year and again I believe a no vote would at the very least make that a possibility.

Voting No because of what has gone before is lunacy. By all means weigh up the arguments but I can only see a No vote leading to trouble. And we simply cannot exist if our Eurozone partners treat us like pariahs.

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